December 5, 2012

Ron Roecker's Predictions for Album of the Year, Song of the Year, Record of the Year and Best New Artist Noms for 55th Grammy Awards being announced Tonight from Nashville

Ron Roecker Predictions for Album of the Year, Song of the Year, Record of the Year and Best New Artist for 55th GRAMMY Award Nominations Announced Tonight from Nashville

Best New Artist
Frankie Ocean
Lumineers/Ellie Goulding
One Direction
Alabama Shakes

Frankie Ocean is a slam dunk in this category both for his musicianship and his announcement that the first person he fell in love with was a man.  The rest is up for grabs as the Recording Academy loves to throw us a curve by not only nominating but then awarding virtually unknowns – Esmerelda Spalding, anyone?  On the flip side the voting members have been a little easier on the pop mega breakouts such as Justin Bieber and Nikki Minaj (at least for nominations) so One Direction will probably get a nom here. Fun probably will get a nod because they had a couple of big hits – “We Are Young” and “Some Nights” and don’t appear to be slowing down at all.  At the beginning of the year I would have said absolutely fo sho Alabama Shakes would get a nod – their fire is cooling a bit but they are the type of band that the Academy likes in this category.  The 5th spot will be the real wild card in a male-dominated field – Lumineers, Ellie Goulding and possibly Kimbra have a shot at this.  My money is on Lumineers or Goulding for the last spot.  Many people favor Goyte but (see “male dominated field” comment above)

Song of the Year
Set Fire to the Rain - Adele
Take Care – Drake
Swim Good – Frankie Ocean
Somebody that I used to know – Goyte
Over You – Miranda Lambert

I think there are 4 fo sho bets in the song of the year category (which is awarded to the songwriter(s) with Adele’s Set Fire to the Rain being eligible as a single this year Academy members are going to pounce on it for Song of the year nod, as well as Take care by Drake, Swim Good by Frankie Ocean and the other slam dunk here will be Goyte’s haunting “Somebody that I Used to Know”  The Academy always loves to have country represented so it could quite possibly be Miranda Lambert’s gorgeous “Over You”

Record of the Year
Somebody that I used to Know
We are Never Getting Back Together
Set Fire to the Rain
Take Care – Drake/Rihanna
I will wait mumford & sons

Record of the Year which goes to the artist and the producer (it’s a performance category) is going to have two fo sho bets:  Set Fire  to the Rain (Adele) and Somebody that I used to Know, Drake’s “Take Care” probably will get a nom here because 1) Drake gets tons of nominations but doesn’t win and Rihanna is on it. The 4th slot probably will go to Taylor Swift for “We are Never Ever Getting Back together” if for no other reason than that’s the only release from the GRAMMY darling that was eligible for this awards show.  The last slot is a total toss up especially if Swift doesn’t land a spot – which would mean there would be no country represented in Record of the Year (and the Academy likes to have country represented!).  It could be Miranda Lambert’s “Over You,” Katy Perry’s “Wide Awake” or Carly Rae Jepsen’s “Call Me Maybe”

Album of the Year
Mumford & Sons “Babel”
Drake “Take Care”
Frankie Ocean Channel Orange
Black Keys – El Camino
Bob Dylan – Tempest or Neil Young “Americana”
Four the Record Miranda Lambert or Pink “Truth About Love”

I think the slam dunks here are:  Mumford & Sons Babel, Frankie Ocean’s Channel Orange, Black Keys – El Camino and Drake’s “Take Control” – again all men in this category so we might see a Pink’s Truth about Love” squeaking its way in or Lambert’s excellent “Four the Record” or Pink’s “Truth About Love” (which is not one of my fave Pink albums btw)– but the Academy loves a comeback so don’t be surprised if Bob Dylan, Neil Young or Bonnie Raitt were included